Louisiana-Lafayette vs Troy 10/16/2010

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Troy is a heavy favorite winning 86% of simulations over Louisiana-Lafayette. Corey Robinson is averaging 339 passing yards and 3 TDs per simulation and DuJuan Harris is projected for 60 rushing yards and a 58% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 14% of simulations where Louisiana-Lafayette wins, Chris Masson averages 2.23 TD passes vs 0.52 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.05 TDs to 0.87 interceptions. Kevis Streeter averages 40 rushing yards and 0.48 rushing TDs when Louisiana-Lafayette wins and 33 yards and 0.25 TDs in losses. Troy has a 40% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TROY -17.5

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